2013년 10월 26일 토요일

Genaro Resendiz's blog ::Greg Schiano Scapegoats Josh Freeman, but He's Next to Be Fired






Genaro Resendiz's blog ::Greg Schiano Scapegoats Josh Freeman, but He's Next to Be Fired










               As               I               wrote               last               season,               I               prefer               to               rate               quarterbacks               using               my               own               formula               instead               of               the               NFL's               passer               rating               system.
               I               think               mine               more               accurately               reflects               a               quarterback's               contribution               to               winning               games-               as               opposed               to               just               putting               up               stats               -               as               it's               focused               purely               on               yards               per               play               (can               he               move               the               ball?),               big               play               percentage               (can               he               win               field               position               and               put               up               points?),               and               turnover               percentage               (can               he               protect               field               position               and               limit               the               opponent's               scoring               chances?).
               Fumbles,               whether               lost               or               not,               show               up               in               the               turnover               percentage-               a               fair               penalty               for               a               QB's               part               in               taking               sacks,               which               isn't               otherwise               accounted               for.

The               actual               formula               is               this:
               Yards               Per               Play               +               %               of               plays               over               20               yards               -               Turnover               %               =               QB               Rating
               There               were               33               quarterbacks               who               threw               enough               passes               to               qualify               for               the               NFL's               rating               system,               the               only               team               with               two               being               the               Arizona               Cardinals.

The               following               list               is               the               order               they               finished               in               my               system,               with               their               rating               in               brackets.

In               the               event               of               a               tie,               the               player               who               logged               more               attempts               is               ranked               higher.

At               the               end               I'll               go               through               some               of               the               more               interesting               things               that               popped               up               while               tallying               these,               although               some               of               the               rankings               themselves               are               interesting               enough!
               1.

Aaron               Rodgers               (18.0)
               2.

Tom               Brady               (16.7)
               3.

Drew               Brees               (16.5)
               4.

Carson               Palmer               (15.7)
               5.

Matt               Schaub               (15.7)
               6.

Cam               Newton               (15.4)
               7.

Tony               Romo               (15.4)
               8.

Eli               Manning               (15.3)
               9.

Philip               Rivers               (14.4)
               10.

Ben               Roethlisberger               (14.2)
               11.

Matthew               Stafford               (14.1)
               12.

Michael               Vick               (14.0)
               13.

Matt               Ryan               (13.7)
               14.

Alex               Smith               (12.9)
               15.

Jay               Cutler               (12.8)
               16.

Andy               Dalton               (12.2)
               17.

Matt               Hasselbeck               (11.8)
               18.

Tavaris               Jackson               (11.6)
               19.

John               Skelton               (11.3)
               20.

Matt               Moore               (11.1)
               21.

Rex               Grossman               (11.0)
               22.

Joe               Flacco               (10.4)
               23.

Kevin               Kolb               (10.3)
               24.

Ryan               Fitzpatrick               (9.6)
               25.

Tim               Tebow               (9.2)
               26.

Matt               Cassel               (8.7)
               27.

Curtis               Painter               (8.6)
               28.

Mark               Sanchez               (8.5)
               29.

Sam               Bradford               (8.5)
               30.

Christian               Ponder               (7.9)
               31.

Josh               Freeman               (7.0)
               32.

Colt               McCoy               (6.9)
               33.

Blaine               Gabbert               (5.4)
               Top               5               in               Big               Play               Percentage:
               Carson               Palmer,               Aaron               Rodgers,               Philip               Rivers,               Cam               Newton,               Michael               Vick
               Bottom               5               in               Big               Play               Percentage:
               Colt               McCoy,               Blaine               Gabbert,               Josh               Freeman,               Sam               Bradford,               Mark               Sanchez
               Top               5               in               Turnover               Percentage:
               Aaron               Rodgers,               Drew               Brees,               Alex               Smith,               Tom               Brady,               Matt               Ryan
               Bottom               5               in               Turnover               Percentage:
               Matt               Moore,               Christian               Ponder,               Rex               Grossman,               John               Skelton,               Kevin               Kolb
               Random               Thoughts:
               -               Only               Ed               Reed               will               admit               it,               but               Flacco               is               holding               the               Ravens               back
               -               Houston               is               scary               with               a               healthy               Matt               Schaub
               -               Cam               Newton               is               every               bit               the               terror               for               defenses               that               Michael               Vick               is
               -               Arizona               didn't               get               bad               QB               play               and               should               be               fixing               their               O-line               not               courting               Peyton
               -               Carson               Palmer               is               not               in               fact               washed               up               just               yet
               -               Tavaris               Jackson               is               better               than               you               think
               -               At               some               point               you               have               to               ask               if               Sam               Bradford               is               really               any               good
               -               Josh               Freeman               has               the               tools               to               keep               his               job,               Colt               McCoy               does               not
               -               Buffalo               made               an               error               directing               what               little               spending               they               do               at               Ryan               Fitzpatrick
               -               My               preseason               rookie               rankings               were               bang               on               predicting               that               Newton               and               Dalton               would               turn               heads               while               Ponder               and               Gabbert               would               struggle
               -               Tim               Tebow               is               what               he               is               (a               below               average               QB),               narrowly               avoiding               showing               up               on               both               Bottom               5               lists
               -               Kevin               Kolb               looks               an               awful               lot               like               Officer               Tackleberry               from               the               Police               Academy               movies
               Okay               that               last               one               doesn't               help               us               evaluate               anything,               but               it's               true.

You're               probably               looking               up               both               their               pictures               right               now…               In               the               meantime,               here's               my               final               salient               observation               that               I'd               like               to               point               out:
               12               teams               make               the               playoffs,               and               5               of               them               had               a               QB               that               ranked               outside               of               the               Top               12.
               The               league               goes               in               cycles,               and               this               makes               me               wonder               if               we've               hit               the               peak               of               the               recent               pass-happy               quarterback               driven               success               model               in               the               NFL.
               I               kind               of               hope               so.




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